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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

AP rank 3Notre Dame @ Purdue

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · ROSS-ADE STADIUM
Notre Dame3-098%
Purdue1-22%
NDNATL RANKPUR
2nd
Model Overall
110th
3rd
Model Offense
92nd
5th
Model Defense
121st
-4.8
Pace
-4.4
51%
Returning PPA
48%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.0
Model total57.0

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Notre Dame -27.5 · No signal

-29-28-27-26Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

Notre Dame line
-27.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Notre Dame line -27.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Notre Dame line -27.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Notre Dame line -27.75; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Notre Dame line -27.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Notre Dame line -27.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Notre Dame line -27.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: ND wk 4 · PUR wk 4

Model margin
Notre Dame by 21.85
Opening line
Notre Dame -27
Latest line
Notre Dame -27.5
Close total
57.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

ND49
FINALRoss-Ade Stadium
PUR10
  • WinNotre DameWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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