AP rank 19#19Missouri@AP rank 24#24Mississippi State
MISSOURI +5.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · DAVIS WADE STADIUM
Missouri3-053%
Mississippi State3-047%
MIZNATL RANKMSST
25th
Model Overall
72nd
64th
Model Offense
55th
10th
Model Defense
80th
-0.4
Pace
1.9
42%
Returning PPA
34%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total56.5
Model total56.0
MISSOURI +5.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Missouri +5.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET
Missouri line
+5.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Missouri line +1.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Missouri line +6.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Missouri line +6.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Missouri line +6.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Missouri line +6.0; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Missouri line +5.5; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: MIZ wk 4 · MSST wk 4
Model margin
Missouri by 1.03
Opening line
Missouri +1.5
Latest line
Missouri +3.5
Close total
58.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
MIZ24
FINALDavis Wade Stadium
MSST31
WinMissouriWIN MISS
ATSMISSOURI +5.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
