GEORGIA SOUTHERN +18.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · ALLEN E. PAULSON STADIUM
Houston2-190%
Georgia Southern1-210%
HOUNATL RANKGASO
70th
Model Overall
88th
47th
Model Offense
56th
87th
Model Defense
110th
0.4
Pace
0.6
81%
Returning PPA
6%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total55.3
Model total55.4
GEORGIA SOUTHERN +18.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Houston -17.25 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET
Houston line
-17.25
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Houston line -18.75; producer tier No signal
Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Houston line -18.75; producer tier EDGE
Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Houston line -18.5; producer tier EDGE
Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Houston line -18.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Houston line -17.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Houston line -17.25; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: HOU wk 4 · GASO wk 4
Model margin
Houston by 14.25
Opening line
Houston -18.75
Latest line
Houston -17.25
Close total
56.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
HOU42
FINALAllen E. Paulson Stadium
GASO28
WinHoustonWIN HIT
ATSGEORGIA SOUTHERN +18.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
