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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

TCU @ UCF

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · FBC MORTGAGE STADIUM
TCU2-161%
UCF2-139%
TCUNATL RANKUCF
37th
Model Overall
78th
43rd
Model Offense
83rd
43rd
Model Defense
60th
0.0
Pace
-2.6
22%
Returning PPA
25%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.0
Model total49.9

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: TCU -3.0 · No signal

-4-3-2Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

TCU line
-3.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; TCU line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; TCU line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; TCU line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; TCU line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; TCU line -3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; TCU line -3.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: TCU wk 4 · UCF wk 4

Model margin
TCU by 3.99
Opening line
TCU -3
Latest line
TCU -3.5
Close total
48.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TCU13
FINALFBC Mortgage Stadium
UCF21
  • WinTCUWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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