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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

Kansas State @ Cincinnati

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · NIPPERT STADIUM
Kansas State3-071%
Cincinnati3-029%
KSUNATL RANKCIN
19th
Model Overall
62nd
18th
Model Offense
31st
42nd
Model Defense
90th
-4.3
Pace
-6.1
71%
Returning PPA
8%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total53.3
Model total57.5

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Kansas State -6.0 · No signal

-7-6-5Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

Kansas State line
-6.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Kansas State line -6.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Kansas State line -6.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Kansas State line -6.25; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Kansas State line -6.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Kansas State line -6.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Kansas State line -6.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: KSU wk 4 · CIN wk 4

Model margin
Kansas State by 6.44
Opening line
Kansas State -6.25
Latest line
Kansas State -6
Close total
55.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

KSU26
FINALNippert Stadium
CIN31
  • WinKansas StateWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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