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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

Sam Houston @ AP rank 11Texas Tech

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · JONES AT&T STADIUM
Sam Houston1-22%
Texas Tech3-098%
SHSUNATL RANKTTU
137th
Model Overall
4th
133rd
Model Offense
33rd
136th
Model Defense
1st
-2.8
Pace
4.5
58%
Returning PPA
53%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.8
Model total55.4

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Sam Houston +34.5 · No signal

+34+35+36+37Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

Sam Houston line
+34.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Sam Houston line +36.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Sam Houston line +34.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Sam Houston line +34.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Sam Houston line +34.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Sam Houston line +34.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Sam Houston line +34.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: SHSU wk 4 · TTU wk 4

Model margin
Texas Tech by 42.07
Opening line
Sam Houston +36.5
Latest line
Sam Houston +34.5
Close total
55.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

SHSU14
FINALJones AT&T Stadium
TTU49
  • WinTexas TechWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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