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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

Clemson @ California

CLEMSON +1.25 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

FRI, SEP 25 · FINAL · CALIFORNIA MEMORIAL STADIUM
Clemson2-164%
California2-136%
CLEMNATL RANKCAL
27th
Model Overall
66th
48th
Model Offense
32nd
23rd
Model Defense
104th
0.4
Pace
-0.3
41%
Returning PPA
58%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.0
Model total48.9
CLEMSON +1.25 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Clemson -1.75 · No signal

-3-2-10+1+2Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET

Clemson line
-1.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Clemson line 0.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Clemson line +0.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Clemson line +1.25; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Clemson line -1.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Clemson line -1.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: CLEM wk 4 · CAL wk 4

Model margin
Clemson by 4.86
Opening line
Clemson 0
Latest line
Clemson -2.5
Close total
52.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

CLEM24
FINALCalifornia Memorial Stadium
CAL10
  • WinClemsonWIN HIT
  • ATSCLEMSON +1.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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