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WK 4 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED FRI 11:02 AM ET

Week 4 · 2026 season

Boise State @ Western Michigan

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, SEP 26 · FINAL · WALDO STADIUM
Boise State2-158%
Western Michigan2-142%
BOISNATL RANKWMU
54th
Model Overall
64th
78th
Model Offense
93rd
39th
Model Defense
37th
2.6
Pace
-3.0
66%
Returning PPA
100%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total47.5
Model total48.0

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Boise State -7.5 · No signal

-8-7-6Open11:02 AMTue11:02 AMWed11:02 AMThu11:02 AMFri11:02 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET

Boise State line
-7.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 18, 11:02:12 AM ET; Boise State line -7.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Sep 22, 11:02:45 AM ET; Boise State line -7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Sep 23, 11:02:22 AM ET; Boise State line -7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Sep 24, 11:02:22 AM ET; Boise State line -7.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Sep 25, 11:02:48 AM ET; Boise State line -7.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Sep 26, 11:04:31 AM ET; Boise State line -7.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: BOIS wk 4 · WMU wk 4

Model margin
Boise State by 4.04
Opening line
Boise State -7.5
Latest line
Boise State -8.5
Close total
50.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

BOIS32
FINALWaldo Stadium
WMU7
  • WinBoise StateWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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