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WK 10 · 2026LINES CAPTURED FRI 11:04 AM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

The Board

Leans and Edges are proprietary signals built from Downfield Data's model and historical market results. Both have produced a positive ROI at -110 odds. Leans have smaller samples. Edges have more data behind them.

59Games modeled
32Games with an Edge
7Games with a Lean
22Pass / Toss-up

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Tuesday, Nov 3

LINES CAPTURED FRI 11:04 AM ET
Tuesday, Nov 3 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
Ohio @ Akron7:00 PM ET · FINALOhio83%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Buffalo @ Miami (OH)8:00 PM ET · FINALMiami (OH)67%LINE UNAVAILABLE–

Wednesday, Nov 4

Wednesday, Nov 4 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
Ball State @ Massachusetts7:00 PM ET · FINALMassachusetts53%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan7:30 PM ET · FINALEastern Michigan65%LINE UNAVAILABLE–

Thursday, Nov 5

Thursday, Nov 5 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
UTSA @ Florida Atlantic7:30 PM ET · FINALUTSA75%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
James Madison @ Southern Miss8:00 PM ET · FINALJames Madison83%SOUTHERN MISS +13.5 · EDGE–

Friday, Nov 6

Friday, Nov 6 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
Virginia Tech @ SMU7:00 PM ET · FINALSMU78%SMU -6 · EDGE–
South Florida @ East Carolina7:30 PM ET · FINALSouth Florida70%SOUTH FLORIDA +1.75 · EDGEOVER 39.25 · LEAN
Nebraska @ Illinois8:00 PM ET · FINALNebraska71%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
AP rank 22New Mexico @ Nevada9:00 PM ET · FINALNew Mexico71%NEVADA +10 · EDGE–
TCU @ AP rank 24Arizona10:15 PM ET · FINALArizona79%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 46.5 · EDGE

Saturday, Nov 7

Saturday, Nov 7 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
Clemson @ Syracuse12:00 PM ET · FINALClemson68%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Iowa State @ Baylor12:00 PM ET · FINALBaylor79%BAYLOR -9.75 · EDGE–
AP rank 7BYU @ AP rank 3Utah12:00 PM ET · FINALUtah73%UTAH -5.25 · EDGE–
AP rank 5UCLA @ Minnesota12:00 PM ET · FINALUCLA77%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 38.75 · LEAN
AP rank 10Texas @ AP rank 19Missouri12:00 PM ET · FINALTexas58%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 43 · EDGE
Tulsa @ Tulane12:00 PM ET · FINALTulane58%TULANE +2.5 · LEAN–
Florida State @ Boston College12:00 PM ET · FINALFlorida State75%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 52.5 · EDGE
North Carolina @ UConn12:00 PM ET · FINALNorth Carolina65%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Duke @ NC State12:30 PM ET · FINALDuke58%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Maryland @ Purdue12:30 PM ET · FINALPurdue61%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Arkansas @ Auburn12:45 PM ET · FINALAuburn68%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 53.75 · EDGE
Old Dominion @ Coastal Carolina1:00 PM ET · FINALCoastal Carolina66%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State1:00 PM ET · FINALKansas State65%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 62.5 · EDGE
Georgia State @ App State2:30 PM ET · FINALGeorgia State53%GEORGIA STATE +6.5 · EDGE–
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State3:00 PM ET · FINALArkansas State78%UL MONROE +14.5 · EDGE–
Texas A&M @ AP rank 23South Carolina3:00 PM ET · FINALSouth Carolina61%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Oregon @ AP rank 11Ohio State3:30 PM ET · FINALOhio State68%OHIO STATE -6 · EDGEOVER 45.5 · EDGE
Marshall @ Georgia Southern3:30 PM ET · FINALGeorgia Southern55%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Penn State @ Washington3:30 PM ET · FINALWashington65%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
AP rank 9Alabama @ AP rank 15LSU3:30 PM ET · FINALLSU53%ALABAMA +3.5 · EDGEUNDER 52.5 · EDGE
Charlotte @ UAB3:30 PM ET · FINALUAB91%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 47.5 · EDGE
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee3:30 PM ET · FINALWestern Kentucky61%WESTERN KENTUCKY -1.5 · EDGE–
Cincinnati @ AP rank 17Houston3:30 PM ET · FINALHouston83%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 62 · LEAN
Temple @ Navy3:30 PM ET · FINALNavy70%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
UCF @ Kansas3:45 PM ET · FINALKansas60%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Louisiana Tech @ Troy4:00 PM ET · FINALLouisiana Tech68%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 47.75 · EDGE
Northern Illinois @ San José State4:00 PM ET · FINALSan José State77%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Rice @ North Texas4:00 PM ET · FINALNorth Texas91%NORTH TEXAS -16.75 · EDGEUNDER 64.5 · EDGE
Rutgers @ Wisconsin4:15 PM ET · FINALWisconsin78%RUTGERS +18.25 · LEAN–
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State4:15 PM ET · FINALMississippi State53%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 48.5 · EDGE
South Alabama @ Louisiana5:00 PM ET · FINALLouisiana66%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
AP rank 20Boise State @ Colorado State6:00 PM ET · FINALBoise State89%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 68.75 · LEAN
AP rank 8Kentucky @ AP rank 16Tennessee6:15 PM ET · FINALTennessee76%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State7:00 PM ET · FINALJacksonville State86%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 47.25 · EDGE
AP rank 2Georgia @ AP rank 12Ole Miss7:30 PM ET · FINALGeorgia59%GEORGIA -4.5 · EDGE–
Louisville @ Georgia Tech7:30 PM ET · FINALLouisville80%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 62.25 · EDGE
Michigan State @ Michigan7:30 PM ET · FINALMichigan89%MICHIGAN STATE +16.5 · EDGEOVER 39.75 · EDGE
Colorado @ Arizona State7:30 PM ET · FINALArizona State73%ARIZONA STATE -3.5 · EDGE–
AP rank 1Miami @ AP rank 4Notre Dame7:30 PM ET · FINALNotre Dame69%NOTRE DAME -3.5 · EDGEUNDER 57.5 · EDGE
AP rank 21Iowa @ Northwestern7:30 PM ET · FINALIowa51%IOWA +2.5 · EDGEOVER 45.25 · EDGE
Air Force @ Army7:30 PM ET · FINALArmy69%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 44.5 · EDGE
Oklahoma @ AP rank 25Florida7:45 PM ET · FINALFlorida58%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 45.25 · EDGE
Liberty @ New Mexico State8:00 PM ET · FINALLiberty90%NEW MEXICO STATE +16.5 · EDGEOVER 46 · EDGE
Fresno State @ Utah State9:30 PM ET · FINALFresno State61%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Hawai'i @ UTEP9:30 PM ET · FINALHawai'i80%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
West Virginia @ AP rank 13Texas Tech9:30 PM ET · FINALTexas Tech95%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 65.5 · EDGE
Wyoming @ UNLV10:30 PM ET · FINALUNLV72%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Texas State @ Oregon State10:30 PM ET · FINALOregon State59%TEXAS STATE +6.25 · EDGEUNDER 71.25 · LEAN

Qualified Lean and Edge lines and grades come from frozen publication records. Directional ATS opinions are informational; No Play markets are omitted.