GEORGIA STATE +6.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · KIDD BREWER STADIUM
Georgia State4-453%
App State5-347%
GASTNATL RANKAPP
116th
Model Overall
123rd
84th
Model Offense
120th
130th
Model Defense
116th
0.7
Pace
0.8
47%
Returning PPA
38%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total56.5
Model total54.3
GEORGIA STATE +6.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Georgia State +6.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Georgia State line
+6.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Georgia State line +3.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Georgia State line +5.25; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Georgia State line +6.0; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Georgia State line +6.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: GAST wk 10 · APP wk 10
Model margin
App State by 1.58
Opening line
Georgia State +3.5
Latest line
Georgia State +6.5
Close total
53.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
GAST39
FINALKidd Brewer Stadium
APP23
WinGeorgia StateWIN HIT
ATSGEORGIA STATE +6.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
