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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

North Carolina @ UConn

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · PRATT & WHITNEY STADIUM
North Carolina4-465%
UConn4-435%
UNCNATL RANKCONN
95th
Model Overall
92nd
90th
Model Offense
39th
97th
Model Defense
132nd
-6.0
Pace
-2.5
28%
Returning PPA
2%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total52.8
Model total54.1

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: North Carolina -7.25 · No signal

-9-8-7-6Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

North Carolina line
-7.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; North Carolina line -7.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; North Carolina line -7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; North Carolina line -7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; North Carolina line -7.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: UNC wk 10 · CONN wk 10

Model margin
North Carolina by 7.01
Opening line
North Carolina -7.75
Latest line
North Carolina -7.5
Close total
55.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UNC38
FINALPratt & Whitney Stadium
CONN21
  • WinNorth CarolinaWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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