SOUTH FLORIDA +1.75 · EDGE loss; OVER 39.25 · LEAN loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
FRI, NOV 6 · FINAL · DOWDY-FICKLEN STADIUM
South Florida6-270%
East Carolina4-430%
USFNATL RANKECU
34th
Model Overall
48th
25th
Model Offense
82nd
51st
Model Defense
29th
1.6
Pace
3.7
13%
Returning PPA
14%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total42.8
Model total46.8
SOUTH FLORIDA +1.75 · EDGE LOSSOVER 39.25 · LEAN LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: South Florida +2.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
South Florida line
+2.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; South Florida line +0.25; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; South Florida line +1.75; producer tier EDGE
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; South Florida line +2.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; South Florida line +2.5; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: USF wk 10 · ECU wk 10
Model margin
South Florida by 3.56
Opening line
South Florida +0.25
Latest line
South Florida +2
Close total
39.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
USF17
FINALDowdy-Ficklen Stadium
ECU20
WinSouth FloridaWIN MISS
ATSSOUTH FLORIDA +1.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalOVER 39.25 · LEANLEAN MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
