UNDER 68.75 · LEAN loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · CANVAS STADIUM
Boise State7-189%
Colorado State3-511%
BOISNATL RANKCSU
54th
Model Overall
124th
78th
Model Offense
105th
39th
Model Defense
131st
2.6
Pace
-5.0
66%
Returning PPA
40%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total68.5
Model total64.5
UNDER 68.75 · LEAN LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Boise State -17.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Boise State line
-17.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Boise State line -19.0; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Boise State line -17.5; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Boise State line -17.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Boise State line -17.5; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: BOIS wk 10 · CSU wk 10
Model margin
Boise State by 16.63
Opening line
Boise State -19
Latest line
Boise State -16.25
Close total
69.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
BOIS64
FINALCanvas Stadium
CSU38
WinBoise StateWIN HIT
TotalUNDER 68.75 · LEANLEAN MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
