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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET
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Week 10 · 2026 season

Ball State @ Massachusetts

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

WED, NOV 4 · FINAL · WARREN MCGUIRK ALUMNI STADIUM
Ball State3-547%
Massachusetts4-453%
BALLNATL RANKMASS
131st
Model Overall
138th
134th
Model Offense
136th
99th
Model Defense
138th
-4.7
Pace
-4.0
6%
Returning PPA
-57%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.0
Model total50.0

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Ball State +3.0 · No signal

+2+3+4+5Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThuNo dataFriNo dataSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET

Ball State line
+3.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Ball State line +3.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Ball State line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu: no capture.
  • Fri: no capture.
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: BALL wk 10 · MASS wk 10

Model margin
Massachusetts by 4.93
Opening line
Ball State +3.75
Latest line
Ball State +2.5
Close total
48.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

BALL30
FINALWarren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
MASS31
  • WinMassachusettsWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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