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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET
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Week 10 · 2026 season

TCU @ Arizona

OVER 46.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

FRI, NOV 6 · FINAL · ARIZONA STADIUM
TCU4-421%
Arizona6-279%
TCUNATL RANKARIZ
37th
Model Overall
23rd
43rd
Model Offense
42nd
43rd
Model Defense
18th
0.0
Pace
1.0
22%
Returning PPA
65%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total44.0
Model total47.7
OVER 46.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: TCU +7.25 · No signal

+6+7+8+9+10Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

TCU line
+7.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; TCU line +9.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; TCU line +8.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; TCU line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; TCU line +7.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: TCU wk 10 · ARIZ wk 10

Model margin
Arizona by 9.87
Opening line
TCU +9.5
Latest line
TCU +6.75
Close total
46.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TCU28
FINALArizona Stadium
ARIZ29
  • WinArizonaWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 46.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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