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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

AP rank 10Texas @ AP rank 19Missouri

OVER 43 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM
Texas6-258%
Missouri6-242%
TEXNATL RANKMIZ
15th
Model Overall
25th
11th
Model Offense
64th
33rd
Model Defense
10th
-2.8
Pace
-0.4
72%
Returning PPA
42%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.5
Model total47.9
OVER 43 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Texas -2.5 · No signal

-4-3-2Open11:02 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

Texas line
-2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Oct 29, 11:02:57 AM ET; Texas line -3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Texas line -2.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Texas line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Texas line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: TEX wk 10 · MIZ wk 10

Model margin
Texas by 3.13
Opening line
Texas -3.5
Latest line
Texas -2.5
Close total
43.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

TEX34
FINALMemorial Stadium
MIZ20
  • WinTexasWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 43 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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