ALABAMA +3.5 · EDGE win; UNDER 52.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · TIGER STADIUM (LA)
Alabama6-247%
LSU6-253%
ALANATL RANKLSU
21st
Model Overall
52nd
44th
Model Offense
89th
15th
Model Defense
30th
-3.7
Pace
-3.6
26%
Returning PPA
21%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total54.5
Model total49.0
ALABAMA +3.5 · EDGE WINUNDER 52.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Alabama +6.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Alabama line
+6.0
Producer tier
No signal
Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Alabama line +3.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Alabama line +5.5; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Alabama line +6.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Alabama line +6.0; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: ALA wk 10 · LSU wk 10
Model margin
LSU by 1.40
Opening line
Alabama +3.5
Latest line
Alabama +6
Close total
53.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ALA31
FINALTiger Stadium (LA)
LSU13
WinLSUWIN MISS
ATSALABAMA +3.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
TotalUNDER 52.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
