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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

Cincinnati @ AP rank 17Houston

UNDER 62 · LEAN win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · TDECU STADIUM
Cincinnati5-317%
Houston6-283%
CINNATL RANKHOU
62nd
Model Overall
70th
31st
Model Offense
47th
90th
Model Defense
87th
-6.1
Pace
0.4
8%
Returning PPA
81%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total62.0
Model total53.4
UNDER 62 · LEAN WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Cincinnati +10.75 · No signal

+10+11+12Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

Cincinnati line
+10.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Cincinnati line +10.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Cincinnati line +11.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Cincinnati line +10.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Cincinnati line +10.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: CIN wk 10 · HOU wk 10

Model margin
Houston by 10.63
Opening line
Cincinnati +10.75
Latest line
Cincinnati +10.25
Close total
61.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

CIN24
FINALTDECU Stadium
HOU31
  • WinHoustonWIN HIT
  • TotalUNDER 62 · LEANLEAN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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