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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

Colorado @ Arizona State

ARIZONA STATE -3.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · MOUNTAIN AMERICA STADIUM
Colorado3-527%
Arizona State4-473%
COLONATL RANKASU
93rd
Model Overall
53rd
114th
Model Offense
94th
67th
Model Defense
26th
-2.7
Pace
1.4
14%
Returning PPA
16%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total49.3
Model total49.2
ARIZONA STATE -3.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Colorado +3.5 · EDGE

+2+3+4+5Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

Colorado line
+3.5
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Colorado line +4.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Colorado line +3.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Colorado line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Colorado line +3.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: COLO wk 10 · ASU wk 10

Model margin
Arizona State by 11.31
Opening line
Colorado +4
Latest line
Colorado +3.25
Close total
47.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

COLO10
FINALMountain America Stadium
ASU20
  • WinArizona StateWIN HIT
  • ATSARIZONA STATE -3.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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