ARIZONA STATE -3.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · MOUNTAIN AMERICA STADIUM
Colorado3-527%
Arizona State4-473%
COLONATL RANKASU
93rd
Model Overall
53rd
114th
Model Offense
94th
67th
Model Defense
26th
-2.7
Pace
1.4
14%
Returning PPA
16%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total49.3
Model total49.2
ARIZONA STATE -3.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Colorado +3.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Colorado line
+3.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Colorado line +4.0; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Colorado line +3.25; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Colorado line +3.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Colorado line +3.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: COLO wk 10 · ASU wk 10
Model margin
Arizona State by 11.31
Opening line
Colorado +4
Latest line
Colorado +3.25
Close total
47.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
COLO10
FINALMountain America Stadium
ASU20
WinArizona StateWIN HIT
ATSARIZONA STATE -3.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.