UNDER 52.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · ALUMNI STADIUM (CHESTNUT HILL, MA)
Florida State3-575%
Boston College4-425%
FSUNATL RANKBC
47th
Model Overall
79th
29th
Model Offense
40th
68th
Model Defense
114th
-1.5
Pace
-0.8
40%
Returning PPA
16%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total51.8
Model total49.3
UNDER 52.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Florida State -6.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Florida State line
-6.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Florida State line -6.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Florida State line -7.0; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Florida State line -6.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Florida State line -6.5; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: FSU wk 10 · BC wk 10
Model margin
Florida State by 7.20
Opening line
Florida State -6.5
Latest line
Florida State -6
Close total
53.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
FSU31
FINALAlumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
BC24
WinFlorida StateWIN HIT
TotalUNDER 52.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
