NEVADA +10 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
FRI, NOV 6 · FINAL · MACKAY STADIUM
New Mexico7-171%
Nevada3-529%
UNMNATL RANKNEV
69th
Model Overall
109th
95th
Model Offense
118th
48th
Model Defense
98th
-5.4
Pace
-5.8
58%
Returning PPA
36%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total41.0
Model total50.4
NEVADA +10 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: New Mexico -10.0 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
New Mexico line
-10.0
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; New Mexico line -11.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; New Mexico line -9.5; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; New Mexico line -10.0; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; New Mexico line -10.0; producer tier EDGE
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: UNM wk 10 · NEV wk 10
Model margin
New Mexico by 6.74
Opening line
New Mexico -11
Latest line
New Mexico -10.25
Close total
39.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
UNM31
FINALMackay Stadium
NEV3
WinNew MexicoWIN HIT
ATSNEVADA +10 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
