BAYLOR -9.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · MCLANE STADIUM
Iowa State4-421%
Baylor5-379%
ISUNATL RANKBAY
51st
Model Overall
65th
70th
Model Offense
50th
44th
Model Defense
66th
-0.4
Pace
4.5
2%
Returning PPA
60%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total50.3
Model total50.1
BAYLOR -9.75 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Iowa State +9.75 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Iowa State line
+9.75
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Iowa State line +9.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Iowa State line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Iowa State line +10.0; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Iowa State line +9.75; producer tier EDGE
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: ISU wk 10 · BAY wk 10
Model margin
Baylor by 12.60
Opening line
Iowa State +9.5
Latest line
Iowa State +10
Close total
50.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ISU31
FINALMcLane Stadium
BAY42
WinBaylorWIN HIT
ATSBAYLOR -9.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
