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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED FRI 12:32 PM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

AP rank 1Miami @ AP rank 4Notre Dame

NOTRE DAME -3.5 · EDGE win; UNDER 57.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · NOTRE DAME STADIUM
Miami8-031%
Notre Dame7-169%
MIANATL RANKND
3rd
Model Overall
2nd
13th
Model Offense
3rd
2nd
Model Defense
5th
-1.8
Pace
-4.8
37%
Returning PPA
51%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total54.5
Model total54.5
NOTRE DAME -3.5 · EDGE WINUNDER 57.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Miami +7.5 · No signal

+5+6+7+8Open5:03 PMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

Miami line
+7.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Miami line +6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Miami line +5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Miami line +7.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Miami line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: MIA wk 10 · ND wk 10

Model margin
Notre Dame by 7.50
Opening line
Miami +6.5
Latest line
Miami +7.25
Close total
54.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

MIA24
FINALNotre Dame Stadium
ND31
  • WinNotre DameWIN HIT
  • ATSNOTRE DAME -3.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
  • TotalUNDER 57.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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