WESTERN KENTUCKY -1.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · JOHNNY "RED" FLOYD STADIUM
Western Kentucky3-561%
Middle Tennessee4-439%
WKUNATL RANKMTSU
91st
Model Overall
112th
101st
Model Offense
80th
72nd
Model Defense
129th
-0.2
Pace
-2.0
84%
Returning PPA
33%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total52.8
Model total54.7
WESTERN KENTUCKY -1.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Western Kentucky -2.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Western Kentucky line
-2.0
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Western Kentucky line +1.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Western Kentucky line +1.25; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Western Kentucky line -1.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Western Kentucky line -2.0; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: WKU wk 10 · MTSU wk 10
Model margin
Western Kentucky by 3.57
Opening line
Western Kentucky +1.25
Latest line
Western Kentucky -2
Close total
53.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
WKU42
FINALJohnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
MTSU51
WinWestern KentuckyWIN MISS
ATSWESTERN KENTUCKY -1.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
