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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET
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Week 10 · 2026 season

Duke @ NC State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · CARTER-FINLEY STADIUM
Duke6-258%
NC State4-442%
DUKENATL RANKNCSU
49th
Model Overall
43rd
16th
Model Offense
35th
102nd
Model Defense
49th
-0.0
Pace
-4.5
17%
Returning PPA
60%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total50.0
Model total52.0

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Duke -4.0 · No signal

-6-5-4-3Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

Duke line
-4.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Duke line -5.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Duke line -4.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Duke line -4.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Duke line -4.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: DUKE wk 10 · NCSU wk 10

Model margin
Duke by 3.43
Opening line
Duke -5
Latest line
Duke -4.5
Close total
52.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

DUKE41
FINALCarter-Finley Stadium
NCSU3
  • WinDukeWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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