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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED FRI 12:32 PM ET
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Week 10 · 2026 season

Oregon @ Ohio State

OHIO STATE -6 · EDGE loss; OVER 45.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · OHIO STADIUM
Oregon5-332%
Ohio State6-268%
ORENATL RANKOSU
9th
Model Overall
5th
8th
Model Offense
9th
16th
Model Defense
3rd
-2.5
Pace
-4.8
75%
Returning PPA
68%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total52.5
Model total49.0
OHIO STATE -6 · EDGE LOSSOVER 45.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Oregon +7.75 · No signal

+5+6+7+8+9Open5:03 PMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

Oregon line
+7.75
Producer tier
No signal
  • Fri, Sep 4, 5:03:41 PM ET; Oregon line +6.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Oregon line +7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Oregon line +7.75; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Oregon line +7.75; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: ORE wk 10 · OSU wk 10

Model margin
Ohio State by 6.98
Opening line
Oregon +6
Latest line
Oregon +7.75
Close total
44.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

ORE41
FINALOhio Stadium
OSU28
  • WinOhio StateWIN MISS
  • ATSOHIO STATE -6 · EDGEEDGE MISS
  • TotalOVER 45.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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