UNDER 53.75 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · JORDAN-HARE STADIUM
Arkansas3-532%
Auburn4-468%
ARKNATL RANKAUB
39th
Model Overall
14th
10th
Model Offense
30th
81st
Model Defense
13th
-2.5
Pace
-0.2
14%
Returning PPA
14%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total50.8
Model total50.3
UNDER 53.75 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Arkansas +10.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Arkansas line
+10.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Arkansas line +11.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Arkansas line +10.5; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Arkansas line +10.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Arkansas line +10.5; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: ARK wk 10 · AUB wk 10
Model margin
Auburn by 10.92
Opening line
Arkansas +11.5
Latest line
Arkansas +10.5
Close total
53.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ARK23
FINALJordan-Hare Stadium
AUB26
WinAuburnWIN HIT
TotalUNDER 53.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
