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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State

OVER 47.25 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · AMFIRST STADIUM
Sam Houston1-714%
Jacksonville State6-286%
SHSUNATL RANKJXST
137th
Model Overall
90th
133rd
Model Offense
96th
136th
Model Defense
76th
-2.8
Pace
-0.3
58%
Returning PPA
50%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total47.8
Model total52.1
OVER 47.25 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Sam Houston +17.5 · No signal

+14+15+16+17+18Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

Sam Houston line
+17.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Sam Houston line +15.25; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Sam Houston line +16.75; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Sam Houston line +17.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Sam Houston line +17.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: SHSU wk 10 · JXST wk 10

Model margin
Jacksonville State by 18.13
Opening line
Sam Houston +15.25
Latest line
Sam Houston +17
Close total
45.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

SHSU14
FINALAmFirst Stadium
JXST47
  • WinJacksonville StateWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 47.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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