OVER 45.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · BEN HILL GRIFFIN STADIUM
Oklahoma4-442%
Florida5-358%
OUNATL RANKFLA
17th
Model Overall
36th
62nd
Model Offense
23rd
4th
Model Defense
54th
-1.3
Pace
-5.5
63%
Returning PPA
69%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total48.5
Model total51.4
OVER 45.25 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Oklahoma +6.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Oklahoma line
+6.0
Producer tier
No signal
Thu, Oct 29, 11:02:57 AM ET; Oklahoma line +4.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Oklahoma line +6.25; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Oklahoma line +6.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Oklahoma line +6.0; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: OU wk 10 · FLA wk 10
Model margin
Florida by 3.54
Opening line
Oklahoma +4
Latest line
Oklahoma +4.75
Close total
46.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
OU23
FINALBen Hill Griffin Stadium
FLA7
WinFloridaWIN MISS
TotalOVER 45.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
