UL MONROE +14.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · CENTENNIAL BANK STADIUM
UL Monroe1-722%
Arkansas State4-478%
ULMNATL RANKARST
117th
Model Overall
122nd
128th
Model Offense
127th
84th
Model Defense
94th
-6.1
Pace
3.7
39%
Returning PPA
30%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total52.0
Model total50.6
UL MONROE +14.5 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: UL Monroe +14.5 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
UL Monroe line
+14.5
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; UL Monroe line +14.5; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; UL Monroe line +14.5; producer tier EDGE
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; UL Monroe line +14.5; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; UL Monroe line +14.5; producer tier EDGE
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: ULM wk 10 · ARST wk 10
Model margin
Arkansas State by 11.91
Opening line
UL Monroe +14.5
Latest line
UL Monroe +14.5
Close total
52.8
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ULM19
FINALCentennial Bank Stadium
ARST17
WinArkansas StateWIN MISS
ATSUL MONROE +14.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
