NORTH TEXAS -16.75 · EDGE win; UNDER 64.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · DATCU STADIUM
Rice1-79%
North Texas6-291%
RICENATL RANKUNT
136th
Model Overall
41st
137th
Model Offense
5th
118th
Model Defense
111th
-4.4
Pace
1.6
39%
Returning PPA
3%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total64.3
Model total58.0
NORTH TEXAS -16.75 · EDGE WINUNDER 64.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Rice +16.75 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Rice line
+16.75
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Rice line +16.75; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Rice line +16.75; producer tier EDGE
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Rice line +17.25; producer tier EDGE
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Rice line +16.75; producer tier EDGE
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: RICE wk 10 · UNT wk 10
Model margin
North Texas by 20.69
Opening line
Rice +16.75
Latest line
Rice +15
Close total
65.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
RICE23
FINALDATCU Stadium
UNT52
WinNorth TexasWIN HIT
ATSNORTH TEXAS -16.75 · EDGEEDGE HIT
TotalUNDER 64.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
