Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

AP rank 5UCLA @ Minnesota

OVER 38.75 · LEAN win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · HUNTINGTON BANK STADIUM
UCLA8-077%
Minnesota5-323%
UCLANATL RANKMINN
73rd
Model Overall
81st
74th
Model Offense
73rd
69th
Model Defense
82nd
-5.2
Pace
-7.2
57%
Returning PPA
65%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total42.5
Model total44.1
OVER 38.75 · LEAN WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: UCLA -5.0 · No signal

-7-6-5-4Open11:02 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

UCLA line
-5.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Oct 29, 11:02:57 AM ET; UCLA line -6.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; UCLA line -5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; UCLA line -5.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; UCLA line -5.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: UCLA wk 10 · MINN wk 10

Model margin
UCLA by 6.03
Opening line
UCLA -6.5
Latest line
UCLA -3.75
Close total
38.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UCLA34
FINALHuntington Bank Stadium
MINN20
  • WinUCLAWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 38.75 · LEANLEAN HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 10 board