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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET
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Week 10 · 2026 season

Iowa @ Northwestern

IOWA +2.5 · EDGE win; OVER 45.25 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · RYAN FIELD
Iowa6-251%
Northwestern6-249%
IOWANATL RANKNU
16th
Model Overall
67th
46th
Model Offense
69th
8th
Model Defense
57th
-6.9
Pace
-3.4
34%
Returning PPA
89%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total42.5
Model total46.7
IOWA +2.5 · EDGE WINOVER 45.25 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Iowa +2.5 · EDGE

+1+2+3+4Open11:02 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

Iowa line
+2.5
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Thu, Oct 29, 11:02:57 AM ET; Iowa line +2.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Iowa line +2.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Iowa line +2.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Iowa line +2.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: IOWA wk 10 · NU wk 10

Model margin
Iowa by 1.56
Opening line
Iowa +2.5
Latest line
Iowa -2.75
Close total
42.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

IOWA24
FINALRyan Field
NU10
  • WinIowaWIN HIT
  • ATSIOWA +2.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
  • TotalOVER 45.25 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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