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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

Fresno State @ Utah State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, NOV 7 · FINAL · MAVERIK STADIUM
Fresno State5-361%
Utah State3-539%
FRESNATL RANKUSU
63rd
Model Overall
87th
115th
Model Offense
71st
22nd
Model Defense
100th
-1.9
Pace
-1.5
38%
Returning PPA
65%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total41.8
Model total44.8

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Fresno State -2.5 · No signal

-4-3-2Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

Fresno State line
-2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Fresno State line -2.75; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Fresno State line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Fresno State line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Fresno State line -2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: FRES wk 10 · USU wk 10

Model margin
Fresno State by 2.69
Opening line
Fresno State -2.75
Latest line
Fresno State +0.25
Close total
43.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

FRES10
FINALMaverik Stadium
USU17
  • WinFresno StateWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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