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WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

Virginia Tech @ SMU

SMU -6 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

FRI, NOV 6 · FINAL · GERALD J. FORD STADIUM
Virginia Tech6-222%
SMU6-278%
VTNATL RANKSMU
57th
Model Overall
11th
22nd
Model Offense
7th
95th
Model Defense
27th
-5.4
Pace
-1.3
37%
Returning PPA
57%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total57.5
Model total54.8
SMU -6 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Virginia Tech +6.25 · No signal

+5+6+7+8Open11:02 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFri11:04 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET

Virginia Tech line
+6.25
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Oct 29, 11:02:57 AM ET; Virginia Tech line +7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Virginia Tech line +6.0; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Virginia Tech line +6.25; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Virginia Tech line +6.25; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: VT wk 10 · SMU wk 10

Model margin
SMU by 8.07
Opening line
Virginia Tech +7.5
Latest line
Virginia Tech +6
Close total
57.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

VT28
FINALGerald J. Ford Stadium
SMU51
  • WinSMUWIN HIT
  • ATSSMU -6 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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