Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 10 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 10 · 2026 season

James Madison @ Southern Miss

SOUTHERN MISS +13.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

THU, NOV 5 · FINAL · M. M. ROBERTS STADIUM
James Madison7-283%
Southern Miss3-517%
JMUNATL RANKUSM
18th
Model Overall
98th
27th
Model Offense
104th
24th
Model Defense
92nd
0.9
Pace
0.3
8%
Returning PPA
90%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total56.8
Model total56.3
SOUTHERN MISS +13.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: James Madison -13.5 · EDGE

-16-15-14-13Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWedNo dataThu11:03 AMFriNo dataSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET

James Madison line
-13.5
Producer tier
EDGE
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; James Madison line -15.0; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; James Madison line -14.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Wed: no capture.
  • Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; James Madison line -13.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri: no capture.
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: JMU wk 10 · USM wk 10

Model margin
James Madison by 11.15
Opening line
James Madison -15
Latest line
James Madison -13.5
Close total
58.3

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

JMU54
FINALM. M. Roberts Stadium
USM23
  • WinJames MadisonWIN HIT
  • ATSSOUTHERN MISS +13.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 10 board