FRI, NOV 6 · FINAL · MEMORIAL STADIUM (CHAMPAIGN, IL)
Nebraska5-371%
Illinois5-329%
NEBNATL RANKILL
82nd
Model Overall
46th
41st
Model Offense
51st
117th
Model Defense
45th
-4.4
Pace
-3.5
46%
Returning PPA
21%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total50.0
Model total49.1
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Nebraska -4.25 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET
Nebraska line
-4.25
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Nebraska line -5.25; producer tier No signal
Tue, Nov 3, 11:03:35 AM ET; Nebraska line -4.5; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu, Nov 5, 11:03:36 AM ET; Nebraska line -4.75; producer tier No signal
Fri, Nov 6, 11:04:00 AM ET; Nebraska line -4.25; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: NEB wk 10 · ILL wk 10
Model margin
Nebraska by 3.48
Opening line
Nebraska -5.25
Latest line
Nebraska -4.5
Close total
51.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
NEB13
FINALMemorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
ILL24
WinNebraskaWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
