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WK 6 · 2026LINES CAPTURED SAT 11:04 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

The Board

Leans and Edges are proprietary signals built from Downfield Data's model and historical market results. Both have produced a positive ROI at -110 odds. Leans have smaller samples. Edges have more data behind them.

55Games modeled
34Games with an Edge
0Games with a Lean
21Pass / Toss-up

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Tuesday, Oct 6

LINES CAPTURED SAT 11:04 AM ET
Tuesday, Oct 6 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
Southern Miss @ Troy8:00 PM ET · FINALTroy59%LINE UNAVAILABLE–

Wednesday, Oct 7

Wednesday, Oct 7 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State7:00 PM ET · FINALJacksonville State71%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
New Mexico State @ Florida International7:30 PM ET · FINALFlorida International76%FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL -6.5 · EDGE–

Thursday, Oct 8

Thursday, Oct 8 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
Sam Houston @ Liberty7:00 PM ET · FINALLiberty86%LIBERTY -13.5 · EDGE–
South Florida @ UTSA7:30 PM ET · FINALUTSA55%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
South Alabama @ Arkansas State7:30 PM ET · FINALSouth Alabama59%LINE UNAVAILABLE–

Friday, Oct 9

Friday, Oct 9 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
Florida State @ Louisville7:00 PM ET · FINALLouisville53%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
AP rank 20Iowa @ Washington9:00 PM ET · FINALWashington55%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 41.5 · EDGE
Washington State @ Utah State9:00 PM ET · FINALWashington State61%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 43 · EDGE
Wyoming @ San José State9:00 PM ET · FINALSan José State78%SAN JOSÉ STATE -4.25 · EDGEOVER 42.5 · EDGE
Iowa State @ AP rank 8BYU10:15 PM ET · FINALBYU92%BYU -14.5 · EDGEOVER 50.5 · EDGE

Saturday, Oct 10

Saturday, Oct 10 model winners, ATS opinions or qualified spread selections, and published total picks.
GameWinnerSpreadTotal
AP rank 7Indiana @ Nebraska12:00 PM ET · FINALIndiana73%INDIANA -8.75 · EDGE–
Wake Forest @ NC State12:00 PM ET · FINALNC State50%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 59.25 · EDGE
Tulane @ Army12:00 PM ET · FINALArmy67%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Texas A&M @ AP rank 14Missouri12:00 PM ET · FINALTexas A&M52%TEXAS A&M +3.75 · EDGEUNDER 50.5 · EDGE
North Carolina @ AP rank 25Pittsburgh12:00 PM ET · FINALPittsburgh78%PITTSBURGH -3.75 · EDGEOVER 46.75 · EDGE
UCF @ AP rank 18Oklahoma State12:00 PM ET · FINALOklahoma State51%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Arizona @ West Virginia12:00 PM ET · FINALArizona68%ARIZONA -3 · EDGEUNDER 60.5 · EDGE
Ball State @ Northwestern12:30 PM ET · FINALNorthwestern99%NORTHWESTERN -35.75 · EDGE–
South Carolina @ AP rank 16Florida12:45 PM ET · FINALFlorida80%SOUTH CAROLINA +13.5 · EDGE–
Rice @ East Carolina1:00 PM ET · FINALEast Carolina82%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 47.5 · EDGE
Old Dominion @ App State1:00 PM ET · FINALApp State76%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 46 · EDGE
Miami (OH) @ Massachusetts2:00 PM ET · FINALMiami (OH)63%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
AP rank 9Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt3:30 PM ET · FINALOle Miss65%VANDERBILT +9.25 · EDGE–
Stanford @ AP rank 3Notre Dame3:30 PM ET · FINALNotre Dame99%STANFORD +40 · EDGEUNDER 54.5 · EDGE
AP rank 22Houston @ Kansas State3:30 PM ET · FINALKansas State58%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
AP rank 1Texas @ Oklahoma3:30 PM ET · FINALTexas75%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 40.75 · EDGE
Eastern Michigan @ Akron3:30 PM ET · FINALEastern Michigan77%EASTERN MICHIGAN -6.5 · EDGEOVER 51.5 · EDGE
AP rank 21UCLA @ AP rank 13Oregon3:30 PM ET · FINALOregon86%OREGON -11.5 · EDGE–
Charlotte @ North Texas3:30 PM ET · FINALNorth Texas99%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Illinois @ Michigan State3:30 PM ET · FINALIllinois61%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Buffalo @ Toledo3:30 PM ET · FINALToledo96%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Tulsa @ Navy3:30 PM ET · FINALTulsa53%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 47.5 · EDGE
Duke @ Georgia Tech3:30 PM ET · FINALDuke71%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 45.25 · EDGE
Virginia Tech @ California3:30 PM ET · FINALVirginia Tech67%CALIFORNIA +10 · EDGE–
Central Michigan @ Ohio3:30 PM ET · FINALOhio67%OHIO -3 · EDGE–
Kent State @ Western Michigan3:30 PM ET · FINALWestern Michigan91%WESTERN MICHIGAN -13.5 · EDGEOVER 43.5 · EDGE
UConn @ Temple3:45 PM ET · FINALTemple68%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
AP rank 15Tennessee @ Arkansas4:15 PM ET · FINALTennessee76%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Maryland @ AP rank 5Ohio State4:15 PM ET · FINALOhio State99%OHIO STATE -33 · EDGE–
San Diego State @ Oregon State6:00 PM ET · FINALOregon State73%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
AP rank 10LSU @ Kentucky7:00 PM ET · FINALLSU76%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 50.5 · EDGE
Nevada @ UTEP7:00 PM ET · FINALNevada73%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 47.75 · EDGE
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall7:00 PM ET · FINALMarshall73%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 58.5 · EDGE
UAB @ Memphis7:00 PM ET · FINALMemphis80%LINE UNAVAILABLEUNDER 57.5 · EDGE
Air Force @ Northern Illinois7:30 PM ET · FINALAir Force77%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 48.5 · EDGE
James Madison @ Georgia Southern7:30 PM ET · FINALJames Madison77%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Syracuse @ Virginia7:30 PM ET · FINALVirginia69%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Louisiana @ Louisiana Tech7:30 PM ET · FINALLouisiana60%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 47.25 · EDGE
AP rank 19USC @ Penn State7:30 PM ET · FINALUSC56%PENN STATE -2.25 · EDGEUNDER 58.5 · EDGE
AP rank 2Georgia @ AP rank 6Alabama7:30 PM ET · FINALGeorgia68%LINE UNAVAILABLEOVER 51.5 · EDGE
Minnesota @ Purdue8:00 PM ET · FINALMinnesota71%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Kansas @ AP rank 12Utah8:00 PM ET · FINALUtah95%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
Hawai'i @ Arizona State10:30 PM ET · FINALArizona State85%LINE UNAVAILABLE–
AP rank 23Boise State @ Fresno State10:30 PM ET · FINALBoise State61%LINE UNAVAILABLE–

Qualified Lean and Edge lines and grades come from frozen publication records. Directional ATS opinions are informational; No Play markets are omitted.