Southern Miss @ Troy

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

TUE, OCT 6 · FINAL · VETERANS MEMORIAL STADIUM (AL)

Southern Miss1-341%

Troy2-259%

USMNATL RANKTROY

98th

Model Overall

96th

104th

Model Offense

129th

92nd

Model Defense

46th

0.3

Pace

-2.1

90%

Returning PPA

35%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total48.5

Model total47.9

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Southern Miss +10.0 · No signal

Edge
Lean
No signal

Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET

Southern Miss line: +10.0
Producer tier: No signal

Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Southern Miss line +8.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Southern Miss line +10.0; producer tier No signal
Wed: no capture.
Thu: no capture.
Fri: no capture.
Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: USM wk 6 · TROY wk 6

Model margin: Troy by 7.48
Opening line: Southern Miss +8.5
Latest line: Southern Miss +9.5
Close total: 51.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

USM34

FINALVeterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

TROY55

WinTroyWIN HIT

Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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