STANFORD +40 · EDGE loss; UNDER 54.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · NOTRE DAME STADIUM
Stanford2-31%
Notre Dame5-099%
STANNATL RANKND
55th
Model Overall
2nd
67th
Model Offense
3rd
50th
Model Defense
5th
-2.0
Pace
-4.8
21%
Returning PPA
51%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total54.5
Model total51.0
STANFORD +40 · EDGE LOSSUNDER 54.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Stanford +40.0 · EDGE
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET
Stanford line
+40.0
Producer tier
EDGE
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Stanford line +38.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Stanford line +38.0; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Stanford line +38.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Stanford line +38.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Stanford line +38.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Stanford line +40.0; producer tier EDGE
RATINGS AS OF: STAN wk 6 · ND wk 6
Model margin
Notre Dame by 37.57
Opening line
Stanford +38
Latest line
Stanford +40
Close total
55.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
STAN7
FINALNotre Dame Stadium
ND58
WinNotre DameWIN HIT
ATSSTANFORD +40 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalUNDER 54.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
