OVER 47.75 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · SUN BOWL
Nevada1-373%
UTEP1-427%
NEVNATL RANKUTEP
109th
Model Overall
135th
118th
Model Offense
131st
98th
Model Defense
125th
-5.8
Pace
-2.5
36%
Returning PPA
-1%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total49.5
Model total51.4
OVER 47.75 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Nevada -10.0 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET
Nevada line
-10.0
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Nevada line -9.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Nevada line -9.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Nevada line -9.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Nevada line -10.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Nevada line -9.75; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Nevada line -10.0; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: NEV wk 6 · UTEP wk 6
Model margin
Nevada by 8.87
Opening line
Nevada -9
Latest line
Nevada -10
Close total
48.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
NEV30
FINALSun Bowl
UTEP13
WinNevadaWIN HIT
TotalOVER 47.75 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
