FRI, OCT 9 · FINAL · L&N FEDERAL CREDIT UNION STADIUM
Florida State3-247%
Louisville2-353%
FSUNATL RANKLOU
47th
Model Overall
26th
29th
Model Offense
38th
68th
Model Defense
31st
-1.5
Pace
-3.2
40%
Returning PPA
35%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total57.5
Model total56.7
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Florida State +3.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET
Florida State line
+3.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Florida State line +6.0; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Florida State line +3.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Florida State line +3.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Florida State line +3.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Florida State line +3.5; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: FSU wk 6 · LOU wk 6
Model margin
Louisville by 3.69
Opening line
Florida State +6
Latest line
Florida State +4.25
Close total
60.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
FSU20
FINALL&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
LOU44
WinLouisvilleWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
