Downfield DataGamesGet the board
WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

AP rank 21UCLA @ AP rank 13Oregon

OREGON -11.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · AUTZEN STADIUM
UCLA4-014%
Oregon3-186%
UCLANATL RANKORE
73rd
Model Overall
9th
74th
Model Offense
8th
69th
Model Defense
16th
-5.2
Pace
-2.5
57%
Returning PPA
75%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total60.5
Model total57.9
OREGON -11.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: UCLA +10.5 · No signal

+10+11+12+13Open11:02 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

UCLA line
+10.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; UCLA line +12.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; UCLA line +12.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; UCLA line +11.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; UCLA line +11.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; UCLA line +11.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; UCLA line +10.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: UCLA wk 6 · ORE wk 6

Model margin
Oregon by 17.50
Opening line
UCLA +12.5
Latest line
UCLA +10.25
Close total
57.8

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

UCLA17
FINALAutzen Stadium
ORE15
  • WinOregonWIN MISS
  • ATSOREGON -11.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

Back to the week 6 board