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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

AP rank 22Houston @ Kansas State

The final score and published grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · BILL SNYDER FAMILY STADIUM
Houston4-142%
Kansas State3-158%
HOUNATL RANKKSU
70th
Model Overall
19th
47th
Model Offense
18th
87th
Model Defense
42nd
0.4
Pace
-4.3
81%
Returning PPA
71%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total56.0
Model total55.4

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Houston +2.5 · No signal

+1+2+3+4Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

Houston line
+2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Houston line +2.5; producer tier EDGE
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Houston line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Houston line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Houston line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Houston line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Houston line +2.5; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: HOU wk 6 · KSU wk 6

Model margin
Kansas State by 8.35
Opening line
Houston +2.5
Latest line
Houston +2.5
Close total
55.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

HOU35
FINALBill Snyder Family Stadium
KSU16
  • WinKansas StateWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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