Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Illinois line -3.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Illinois line -2.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Illinois line -2.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Illinois line -2.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Illinois line -2.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Illinois line -2.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: ILL wk 6 · MSU wk 6
Model margin
Illinois by 2.69
Opening line
Illinois -3.5
Latest line
Illinois -2.5
Close total
48.3
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ILL38
FINALSpartan Stadium
MSU37
WinIllinoisWIN HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
