UNDER 59.25 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.
The verdict
SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · CARTER-FINLEY STADIUM
Wake Forest4-150%
NC State3-250%
WAKENATL RANKNCSU
32nd
Model Overall
43rd
37th
Model Offense
35th
38th
Model Defense
49th
-1.1
Pace
-4.5
14%
Returning PPA
60%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total60.0
Model total55.5
UNDER 59.25 · EDGE WIN
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Wake Forest -3.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET
Wake Forest line
-3.5
Producer tier
No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Wake Forest line -3.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Wake Forest line -3.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Wake Forest line -3.5; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Wake Forest line -3.5; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Wake Forest line -3.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Wake Forest line -3.5; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: WAKE wk 6 · NCSU wk 6
Model margin
NC State by 2.31
Opening line
Wake Forest -3.5
Latest line
Wake Forest -3.75
Close total
56.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
WAKE38
FINALCarter-Finley Stadium
NCSU14
WinNC StateWIN MISS
TotalUNDER 59.25 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
