BYU -14.5 · EDGE loss; OVER 50.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.
The verdict
FRI, OCT 9 · FINAL · LAVELL EDWARDS STADIUM
Iowa State3-28%
BYU4-092%
ISUNATL RANKBYU
51st
Model Overall
22nd
70th
Model Offense
24th
44th
Model Defense
32nd
-0.4
Pace
-1.8
2%
Returning PPA
79%
Color marks the better value in each row.
Open total50.5
Model total48.1
BYU -14.5 · EDGE LOSSOVER 50.5 · EDGE LOSS
Market cadence
Line movement
Latest: Iowa State +10.5 · No signal
◆Edge
▲Lean
○No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET
Iowa State line
+10.5
Producer tier
No signal
Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Iowa State line +14.5; producer tier EDGE
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Iowa State line +12.25; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Iowa State line +10.25; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Iowa State line +10.25; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Iowa State line +10.5; producer tier No signal
Sat: no capture.
RATINGS AS OF: ISU wk 6 · BYU wk 6
Model margin
BYU by 16.61
Opening line
Iowa State +14.5
Latest line
Iowa State +11.25
Close total
46.5
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
ISU10
FINALLaVell Edwards Stadium
BYU24
WinBYUWIN HIT
ATSBYU -14.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
TotalOVER 50.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
