Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Buffalo line +19.5; producer tier No signal
Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Buffalo line +20.5; producer tier No signal
Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Buffalo line +21.0; producer tier No signal
Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Buffalo line +21.0; producer tier No signal
Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Buffalo line +20.5; producer tier No signal
Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Buffalo line +18.75; producer tier No signal
RATINGS AS OF: BUF wk 6 · TOL wk 6
Model margin
Toledo by 22.30
Opening line
Buffalo +19.5
Latest line
Buffalo +18.75
Close total
55.0
Graded model opinions
Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.
BUF23
FINALGlass Bowl
TOL8
WinToledoWIN MISS
Where these numbers come from
One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.
Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.
