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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED THU 11:02 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

AP rank 20Iowa @ Washington

OVER 41.5 · EDGE win. The full grades are below.

The verdict

FRI, OCT 9 · FINAL · HUSKY STADIUM
Iowa4-145%
Washington3-255%
IOWANATL RANKWASH
16th
Model Overall
6th
46th
Model Offense
20th
8th
Model Defense
6th
-6.9
Pace
-4.9
34%
Returning PPA
54%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total41.5
Model total46.1
OVER 41.5 · EDGE WIN

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Iowa +2.5 · No signal

+1+2+3+4Open11:02 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSatNo data
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET

Iowa line
+2.5
Producer tier
No signal
  • Thu, Oct 1, 11:02:37 AM ET; Iowa line +1.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Iowa line +2.25; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Iowa line +3.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Iowa line +3.0; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Iowa line +2.5; producer tier No signal
  • Sat: no capture.

RATINGS AS OF: IOWA wk 6 · WASH wk 6

Model margin
Washington by 3.02
Opening line
Iowa +1.5
Latest line
Iowa +3
Close total
41.0

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

IOWA41
FINALHusky Stadium
WASH24
  • WinWashingtonWIN MISS
  • TotalOVER 41.5 · EDGEEDGE HIT
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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