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WK 6 · 2026FINALOPENER CAPTURED TUE 11:03 AM ET

Week 6 · 2026 season

Air Force @ Northern Illinois

OVER 48.5 · EDGE loss. The full grades are below.

The verdict

SAT, OCT 10 · FINAL · HUSKIE STADIUM
Air Force3-177%
Northern Illinois0-423%
AFNATL RANKNIU
125th
Model Overall
134th
52nd
Model Offense
117th
137th
Model Defense
135th
-1.1
Pace
-4.1
57%
Returning PPA
44%

Color marks the better value in each row.

Open total47.5
Model total52.9
OVER 48.5 · EDGE LOSS

Market cadence

Line movement

Latest: Air Force -7.0 · No signal

-13-12-11-10-9-8-7-6Open11:03 AMTue11:03 AMWed11:03 AMThu11:03 AMFri11:03 AMSat11:04 AM
  • Edge
  • Lean
  • No signal

Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET

Air Force line
-7.0
Producer tier
No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Air Force line -11.5; producer tier No signal
  • Tue, Oct 6, 11:03:29 AM ET; Air Force line -7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Wed, Oct 7, 11:03:15 AM ET; Air Force line -7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Thu, Oct 8, 11:03:23 AM ET; Air Force line -7.5; producer tier No signal
  • Fri, Oct 9, 11:03:49 AM ET; Air Force line -7.0; producer tier No signal
  • Sat, Oct 10, 11:04:52 AM ET; Air Force line -7.0; producer tier No signal

RATINGS AS OF: AF wk 6 · NIU wk 6

Model margin
Air Force by 5.99
Opening line
Air Force -11.5
Latest line
Air Force -7
Close total
48.5

Graded model opinions

Every published Lean and Edge grades against its locked selected line. ATS and total results remain independent.

AF28
FINALHuskie Stadium
NIU7
  • WinAir ForceWIN HIT
  • TotalOVER 48.5 · EDGEEDGE MISS
Where these numbers come from

One model scores every FBS game: a win probability, a projected margin, and a projected total, built from as-of team ratings (offense, defense, pace, returning production, recruiting). Ratings on this page are snapshots from the week shown, with zero future information baked in.

Leans and Edges use the exact lines published before kickoff. Every published pick is graded.

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